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Social-media enthusiasts with eyes on the stock market bought into Facebook's initial public offering May 18. Now those who clung to the stock are wondering: When will shares of Facebook climb back to their IPO price of $38 a share?

My answer: About 32 quarters -- or eight years.

Here's why:

I did an analysis August 1, when Facebook closed at $20.88 a share. That's right about where the stock is currently trading. This puts Facebook's price-to-earnings ratio based on the last 12 months (LTM) earnings at 72.4.

I compared this to the median P/E -- also based on the last 12 months of earnings -- of Apple, Yahoo, Microsoft, Google, and LinkedIn, a composite of tech leaders. Apple and Google have proven revenue-growth stories, and LinkedIn (like Facebook) is a newcomer as a reference point. Like Facebook, Yahoo has a huge user base and struggles with the amount of revenue it makes off each user. For this composite of tech leaders, the median P/E ratio is 18. So let's use a P/E of 18 as a benchmark.

That's when I arrived at our first piece of sobering news: If Facebook were valued comparably to this group on a P/E basis, its stock would be $5.22 a share, not $20.88.

Facebook's earnings-per-share will grow at 26.2 percent per year, which is the projection from Capital IQ .

Profit margins stay where they are.

Assuming those two things happen, for Facebook to get its sales and earnings at a level that justifies a $38 stock, it will take 32 quarters, or eight years.

The math is simple: Facebook needs to increase its current earnings per share of 29 cents to $2.11, a more than sevenfold jump. And it would need the same sort of annual revenue boost, from $4.3 billion to $31.3 billion. If it pulls that off, our stock price of $5.22 (based on that 18 P/E) returns to $38 ($5.22 x 7.28).

Let's look at a key metric, Facebook's average revenue per user, or ARPU. As of the latest quarter, Facebook's ARPU was $1.28 in the last quarter. Annualized, that would be $5.12, a penny increase from the ARPU of $5.11 it reported at the end of 2011.

But to meet the $31-plus billion in annualized revenue, the company would either need to have 6.1 billion users at the current ARPU, or make a lot more money off each user -- theoretically increasing ARPU to $33.15. More realistic would be a combination of an increase in ARPU, plus an increase in users to meet that $31.3 billion mark.

What does this mean for Facebook and its investors? While the U.S. economy is facing a possible fiscal cliff , Facebook is facing a tsunami. Here's why:

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Slim In 6 Review

What You Should Know

How Slim In 6 Compares with Leading Weight-Loss Products

Product Star Rating 2 or More Patented Ingredients Less Than $5 Shipping Testimonials Trial Offer

Avesil (Editor's Choice) (4.8)

Flex Belt (4.7) N/A

Nuphedrine (4.6)

P90X (4.5) N/A

Healthy Trim (3.1)

Sensa (2.8)

Slim In 6 (2.7)

Quick Trim (2.6)

*Picks were chosen by editor based on reader contribution. Details Here

Slim in 6 is a weight loss program that was developed by Beach Body. This company offers other weight reduction systems such as P90X, Hip Hop Abs, Rockin’ Body and Turbo Jam. The intended goal of Slim in 6 is to “reshape your body in six weeks.” This weight loss program incorporates “the science of Slim Training.” This is stated on the official website to be a combination of mild resistance moves and cardio exercises. Slim in 6 aims to assist with fat burning, body toning and muscle sculpting. A focus is placed on the thighs, buttocks and abdominal muscles.

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Product Features

Slim in 6 is essentially a fitness program that is marketed primarily toward women. Unlike some other fitness regimens, Slim in 6 places a focus on toning the thighs, abs and buttocks. The official website claims that within six weeks you’ll see considerable results (25 pounds of weight loss can be expected.) This weight reduction system consists of three workout DVDs, a nutritional guide, online access, a calendar to keep track of progress, a step-by-step success guidebook and a tape measure to assist you. Slim in 6 sells for three monthly installments of $19.95 (around $60). Slim in 6 does not involve the consumption of diet pills.

Continue Your Weight Loss Research: See Our Featured Diet.

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Slim in 6 can be easily and conveniently purchased through the official website.

There is a 6-week money-back/satisfaction guarantee offered with Slim in 6.

Slim in 6 gives an expected time frame for weight loss results.

Disadvantages

There are no appetite suppressants incorporated into the Slim in 6 weight loss program.

Slim in 6 appears to be primarily suited for women only.

There are no fat burners offered with Slim in 6.

Slim in 6 calls for quite a change in lifestyle, which may be too drastic for some individuals.

Results may be slow or inconsistent. (See reader comments.)

The official website says to consult a physician prior to getting starting with Slim in 6.

Conclusion

Like many other weight reduction programs, Slim in 6 makes the Slim in 6 system requires only a one-time purchase of the weight loss system instructions. However, the rather drastic lifestyle change involved with this program may prove to be too severe for some dieters. There are no appetite suppressants or metabolic boosters involved in this program, so it’s pretty much the same as other structured diets. Naturally it’s a prudent idea to consult your physician prior to choosing a weight loss program like Slim in 6.

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